Sunday, 28 February 2010

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Goosebumps is a series of children's horror fiction novellas by American author R. L. Stine.

  • Sales Rank: #1671983 in Books
  • Published on: 2014
  • Binding: Paperback

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Tuesday, 23 February 2010

[J420.Ebook] Download PDF Accuracy and Precision for Long Range Shooting: A Practical Guide for Riflemen, by Bryan Litz

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Accuracy and Precision for Long Range Shooting: A Practical Guide for Riflemen, by Bryan Litz

About the Book
There's a lot of good information available on long range shooting which explains how to correct trajectories for drop, wind deflection, etc. This book takes it a step further and discusses how various uncertainties affect your hit percentage.

Weapon Employment Zone (WEZ) analysis is a method for showing how effective a weapon system is throughout its range of employment in terms of hit percentage. WEZ analysis is explained, and applied throughout the book to show how effectiveness can be improved thru various means.

Accuracy and Precision for Long Range Shooting is written in the same easy to understand language that made Applied Ballistics for Long Range Shooting such an enjoyable and effective book. Long range shooting can be very technical. However, author Bryan Litz, communicates these complex ideas in layman terms, so most average shooters can master the subject with little difficulty.

  • Sales Rank: #123496 in Books
  • Published on: 2011
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 578 pages

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72 of 80 people found the following review helpful.
Lacks Index. Over-Use of Acronyms. Mostly For Competitive Shooters
By L. Scott
First, this book covers long range target shooting using a smart phone or hand-held ballistics computer and only discusses a few different rounds, specifically 223, 243 (briefly), but mainly 308, 300 Magnum and 338 Lapua. In my opinion, this is NOT a book on general long range and extreme range shooting like the title may suggest to some folks. Also if you don't use a ballistic app, save your money - there are better books. This is not a how-to book on making long shots, but instead more of a discussion of various topics involved in long range competition.

Another criticism is the vague chapter titles and lack of an index, this combination means one either must become very familiar with the contents of each and every chapter or spend a lot of time flipping back and forth to find specific topics since the same topic may be discussed in more than one chapter. The chapter titles don't really indicate the specific topics contained therein.

IMHO, the author relies a little too much on acronyms (and due to the absence of an index), this requires the reader search around to find where these acronyms are defined. In describing different rounds, the author's shorthand designations can be confusing. For example, using SMK for Sierra Match King is fine since most shooters and re-loaders are familiar with that simple abbreviation, but what about A191, MK248 Mod 1, HBC, and 230 OTM? Would you guess that MK248 Mod 1 means a 190 gr. Match King in 30 caliber? HBC is apparently a 155 gr. Australian round that probably 99% of shooters never heard of. I must assume expert shooters are familiar with such designations, but I'd bet unless one is an expert these terms and abbreviations mean nothing. OK, so this book is for experts. By tailoring the book for experts, the author really restricts the appeal for what could be a much more usable book.

Within the first couple pages, the author starts discussing Standard Deviation without ever defining what it is. I know what it is, but some people probably don't. It would be better if the author briefly defined Standard Deviation before jumping into a discussion about it.

On the plus side, there is a lot of useful information and discussion on many topics, especially on trouble-shooting misses at long range.

The author obviously knows what he's talking about, so I'm not criticizing his knowledge, but rather I do think the presentation could be improved. The lack of an index in any non-fiction book is simply due to laziness on the part of its author. This is something that annoys readers everywhere.

Having one page listing all the acronyms and abbreviations used in the book and their definitions that one could quickly turn to would be a help. I can only guess the author uses a lot of acronyms due to his military background, since everybody knows how the military loves having an acronym for virtually everything! LOL.

Anyway, if one is a long range competitive shooter using certain standard loads, this book would probably be very useful. But for the average person who only does NON-competitive or NON-military long range shooting with common calibers like 7mm Remington, 30-06, etc. this book is really not very useful. Yes, there is some good info in the book, but there's also a lot of stuff that that isn't of much use to average shooters.

31 of 33 people found the following review helpful.
Accuracy First!
By T.A.L. Dozer
Accuracy First!

Bryan Litz has put his military background and Aerospace Engineering degree to great use with the publication of "Accuracy and Precision for Long Range Shooting: A Practical Guide for Riflemen." I have read a ton of marksmanship books and have delved into my share of books on ballistics to understand the theory behind accuracy and precision. However, this book has lifted the shroud of mystery behind the subject and has clarified at least to me a lot of the errors I have picked up over the years. The intent of this book as stated in the introduction "is to explore the uncertainties and inaccuracies of real world shooting so riflemen can make well informed decisions about how to improve their hit percentage". This is done by looking at the fundamentals of precision and accuracy, then supporting the facts in weapon employment zone analysis. All I can say is if Todd Hodnett of Accuracy 1st, one of the most respected and sought after instructors in the entire world recommends this book you know it has to be good! Overall, this book is must own for any professional shooter, no matter if you are military, police or recreational shooter.

CONTENTS:

-Introduction
Part 1: Precision
1. Overview of methodology
2. Example WEZ calculation
3. Wind uncertainty
4. Range uncertainty
5. Inherent precision
6. Muzzle velocity effects
Part 2: Accuracy
7. Accurate shooting basics
8. Leveling your sights
9. Trajectory modeling
10. Secondary trajectory effects
11. Calibrating ballistic solutions
12. Live fire verification
Part 3: Weapon Employment Zone Analysis
13. 300 Winchester Magnum
14. 300 Win Mag vs. 338 Lapua Mag
15. Score shooting
16. Wind sensor array
17. Varmint hunting
18. Medium and big game hunting
19. Military and tactical shooting
-References
-Appendix: Bullet BC tablets

(Hardcover, 6.5" x 9", highly illustrated, 300 pages)

14 of 14 people found the following review helpful.
Great Read - best of many ballistics books.....
By Avagadro
Like many, I have a number of ballistics and shooting books. This one is the winner!! For all of you that are long range shooters or are thinking about long range shooting, this is a MUST READ. The methodology that is used to clarify some of the confusion about long range shooting is easy to understand and it makes perfect sense. The most surprising revelation for me was the rate at which precision falls off the cliff based on a number of factors. Even with a the 308, hit probabilities can fall rapidly based on a number of variables and misses can occur even at "close" ranges. Great read and I can not wait to work through this material at the range!

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Friday, 5 February 2010

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The best-selling text on AIDS in the world has been completely revised and updated in this 6th Edition to reflect the most current information. This user-friendly book furnishes health care providers and clinicians with all the relevant information needed to effectively care for HIV-infected individuals. This edition includes important coverage of several new antiretroviral drugs and tests for quantitating viral load, which have the potential to significantly slow the progression of the HIV virus and prolong survival. Also delivers coverage of obstetrics, pediatric and adult patients, issues unique to women, alternative therapies, and the psychiatric manifestations of HIV.

  • Sales Rank: #10499058 in Books
  • Published on: 1999-07-15
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 1.29" h x 7.42" w x 10.44" l,
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 636 pages

Review
Review of the last edition: "Packed with practical, clinically relevant information...Where this book excels in its facility in condensing a tremendous amount of material in a timely fashion and translating it directly to patient care...Still a remarkable bargain...This book will be one of the most referenced members of any personal or institutional medical library." -JAMA

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Thursday, 4 February 2010

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  • Sales Rank: #397902 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-09-08
  • Released on: 2015-09-08
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.25" h x .88" w x 5.50" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 320 pages

From Booklist
The title makes it sound kind of like one of those shady get-rich-quick books, but this is, in fact, a smart, engagingly written account of how to capitalize on other peoples’ predictability (while at the same time, if we’re paying attention, minimize our own predictability). With the smooth readability of John Allen Paulos, whose Innumeracy (1988) has some thematic similarities, Poundstone explores how our tendencies toward uniformity and simplicity, even when we think we’re being random and complex, leave us open to exploitation by people who know more than we do, like the fact that, when asked to pick one object out of five lined up in a row, most people will pick the second or fourth, or that, in the game rock/paper/scissors, most men choose rock, and scissors is the least popular choice by both genders. There’s some mathematics here—the author explains what he’s talking about in detail—but it’s clearly explained and easily accessible to the general reader. An enlightening book, though, sadly, much of the enlightenment comes from realizing that we’re not as clever as we thought we were. --David Pitt

Review
"An ingenious guide to outsmarting others by predicting their choices when they are trying to be unpredictable." -- Kirkus (Starred Review)

"Of all of the books I've received for The Post, none has received as much over-the-shoulder reads than ROCK BREAKS SCISSORS."
―Susannah Callahan, The New York Post

Praise for Are You Smart Enough to Work at Google?

"Poundstone displays his scientific knowledge, mathematical fluency, and knack for explaining the arcane in playfully precise sentences."―Bloomberg Businessweek

"A smart, engagingly written account of how to capitalize on other peoples' predictability . . . clearly explained and easily accessible to the general reader. An enlightening book."―Booklist

"Delightful, fun, and worth a read."―Seth Godin

"Incredibly gratifying....There's an art to these invasive questions, as Poundstone reveals in this neat little manifesto."―New Scientist

About the Author
William Poundstone is the author of thirteen previous books, including Are You Smart Enough to Work at Google?, How Would You Move Mount Fuji?, and Fortune's Formula. He has written for the New York Times, Harper's, Harvard Business Review, and the Village Voice, among other publications, and is a frequent guest on TV and radio. He lives in Los Angeles. Follow Poundstone on Twitter (@WPoundstone) and learn more at his website, home.williampoundstone.net.

Most helpful customer reviews

50 of 52 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent topic and well explained
By CK
Although I am engineer and read a fair number of science books, this is the first time I have ever come across this topic which is a cross between number theory and behavioral economics. I found it very illuminating and well presented and not at all disorganized as the previous reviewer states. And I don't think a book should get a one star merely because another book covered the material well. The value of a book is how much the reader benefited from it.

I am very intrigued by the topic as it brings together, game theory, number theory, and probability theory. Well done. Like it.
Charan Langton complextoreal.com

Added: I went back and looked at "machines that think" just out of curiosity. This is a book about history of artificial intelligence and in particular about the progress made in AI at a particular place (Dartmouth) and time (70's). The comparison is quite not appropriate. Now AI is a huge topic, far bigger than what this book is attempting to cover and describe that is the human biases and tendencies towards certain numbers particularly in light thresholds and constraints. When humans cheat they cheat in predictable ways, very much along what Dan Arielly talks about in his very excellent book "Predictably Irrational".

The book discusses the Benford's Law, also called the First-Digit Law, which is the frequency distribution of digits in real data such as financial, tax returns, etc. In this distribution, the number 1 occurs as the leading digit about 30% of the time, while larger numbers occur in that position less frequently: 9 as the first digit less than 5% of the time. This law can be used to determine if the data being examined has been faked which tends to deviate from this distribution significantly. This because no matter how hard we try, we humans are unable to create truly random sequences of digits. We have too many predictable biases for certain numbers and in our attempt to appear non-random create patently non-random numbers be it on tax returns or others data such as faked experiment results. The author talks about in addition to out biases about certain numbers but also orders in which we pick things making "magic tricks" possible.
So I am sticking to my rating.

13 of 14 people found the following review helpful.
Gaining a slight edge
By David J. Aldous
Neither this US title nor the UK title "How to predict the unpredictable" is very informative. Better is the author’s declaration “All of this book’s applications are founded on one simple idea. When people make arbitrary, random or strategic choices, they fall into unconscious patterns that you can predict.” But here “predict” is much too strong — ``gain a slight edge” is more indicative.

There are 19 short chapters and one long one. One recurrent theme is that when opponents should randomize actions — tennis serves, soccer penalty kicks, poker bluffing, and of course rock-paper-scissors — they tend to avoid making the same action two or three times in succession; anticipating this gives you an edge. Another theme is exploiting observed non-uniformity; in lottery number choices or in answer options on multiple choice tests. Another theme is detection of manipulation or outright falsification of financial data, detectable by Benford’s (first digit) law or by occurrence of numbers just on the desirable side of some significant threshold. A final theme is inspired by the “hot hand” phenomenon, which all sports players and most sports spectators believe in, but which statisticians have debunked. So can you exploit others’ erroneous belief? One idea involves “betting on the underdog” systems which people have derived from past data, though the author seems unduly credulous about their future reliability.

The style — fast-paced short paragraphs in large type — makes very easy reading. And because there is no very comparable book, I am happy to recommend it to anyone interested in these topics out of general curiosity. Though to what extent this material will be actually useful to a typical reader, I find hard to guess.

The final long chapter on the stock market has more substance. The conventional academic view is that you should “buy and hold the market” via a low-expense index fund, rather than pay for professional management (incurring fees for no demonstrable benefit) or engage in some trading strategy of your own invention (typically seriously underperforming the market). The author advocates seeking to beat ``buy and hold” via long-cycle market timing, in particular the Shiller system of buying when market PE (based on last 10 years earnings) falls to some low threshold and selling when it rises to some high threshold. This system is supported by both logic and historical data, though being a ``whole lifetime” strategy I imagine that few people are psychologically prepared to adopt and persist with this one strategy for much of a lifetime.

A few minor quibbles. The advice on choosing passwords is sensible but omits the arguably better xkcd “correct_horse_battery_staple” (4 moderately common words strung together) idea and does not emphasize using a password strength checker. The advice on interpreting product ratings — look at the proportion of 5/5 ratings instead of the average rating — doesn’t seem based on any actual evidence. The discussion of Benford’s law admirably admits its misuse but doesn’t emphasize the main mathematical point, that it only applies to data with a rather wide range of values.

5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
A Guide on Getting the Upper Hand
By bronx book nerd
This is an interesting and entertaining book that provides different tips and advice on how to get the upper hand in certain situations, everything from playing rock-paper-scissors to March Madness bracket pools to the stock market. Poundstone begins by telling the story of how one person creating an out-guessing machine that basically could figure out picking patterns by humans. The revelation there is that people tend to create predictable patterns when they try to create random series. This is the biggest take away. When we think of something random, we almost automatically assume that this rules out repetition, whereas the repetition of numbers can be a random outcome (it just doesn't "look" that way to most people). This tendency is exhibited in many different fields, and can be used to identify fraudulent numbers, for example, because people tend to favor and disfavor certain numbers when they are making up data. Poundstone provides tips on how to pick lottery numbers that are more likely to garner a bigger share (if you win) and how to win football bets that involve spreads. The material is fascinating and reinforces a lot of findings from behavioral economics, such as the representative heuristic, for example, but more important, reinforces the fact that people stubbornly believe what they want to believe against all evidence.

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Thursday, 28 January 2010

[R462.Ebook] Free PDF What is Symbolism?, by Henri Peyre

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This book centers on the revolutionary French symbolist movement of the last part of the 19th century, translated by Emmett Parker. Peyre gets to the heart of the subject, through provocative lines.

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Wednesday, 27 January 2010

[V195.Ebook] Free PDF Blackwater Falls: Plan B, by Shannon West, Susan E Scott

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Blackwater Falls: Plan B, by Shannon West, Susan E Scott

Life was going fine for Camron MacKay. His plan to marry a nice girl, settle down and have a couple of kids seems to be right on track—until the mating urge hits the cougar shifter on one dark of the moon night. He soon realizes that the only mate for him is the gorgeous, young, hard-drinking, wild-as-hell Travis Sutherland. Camron tries his best to roll with the punches. He tries to explain to Travis how things will be. He’ll be the boss, Travis will straighten up and quit his irresponsible ways and together they’ll try to find a way to work things out, even though legend says no two clan males could ever live together without killing each other. But while Travis is perfectly willing to have a little fun with the handsome Camron, he has absolutely no desire to settle down and refuses to even consider Camron’s plans for the future. That’s when Camron decides he has no choice but to fall back on Plan B.

  • Sales Rank: #489626 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2013-12-15
  • Released on: 2013-12-15
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Most helpful customer reviews

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Brilliant, sexy m/m love story
By Lorraine L.
This is the second book in the series (it can be read as a "standalone") and it's Cameron and Travis story. What a pair! they are chalk and cheese. Cameron is the wholesome, all round good guy. Travis is the petulant, spoilt brat. The law of physics state that "opposites attract" and boy oh boy, do they!. Cameron does want a mate, someone kind and gentle, good with children (he definitely wants some) and female. What he gets is Travis! and ALL his problems.
When I first starting reading this, I didn't know where the authors were going to take me, I did know that Travis was someone I wanted slap and throttle - what a waste os space! but how clever of the authors to invoke so much emotion to make the readers feel this way - very clever and shows off their excellent imaginative writing skills. Then suddenly, the authors take us on another journey, where Travis suddenly becomes endearing, loveable and flirtatious, his "thoughts" made me chuckle! I love the way that the authors "throw in" other characters and some old favourites from their first book, these add substance and laughter to this wonderful love story. The blurb covers the story well, so I won't repeat. But what it doesn't tell you is that this is a hot, hot sexy book with two marvellous male leads, great secondary characters and a wonderful storyline, I WANT MORE! Though this book is written by two authors, I couldn't tell where one started or indeed, when one finished her imput, it was that well written. Highly, highly recommended.

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Another Great Blackwater Falls Installment!
By Shirley13
Camron is a good guy who has always done the right thing. He took care of his family after his father died and had a perfect ideal of a wife, children, and a white picket fence. Imagine his surprise when he realizes with a shock his true mate is cocky, spoiled, over indulged bad boy Travis. The instant attraction between them both is hard to fight.
Camron is convinced he can take control of this relationship and Travis will have to tow the line. Camron soon learns that taking control is not so easy with a strong willed mate. After a heated argument, Travis leaves and is thrown into danger. Camron, with the help of the sherriff and Travis's brother, stops at nothing to save his mate.

This was yet another sweet love story for me! With any relationship there are good and bad times. The good times for these two clan members are smoking hot! Shannon West and Susan Scott have done it once again! Kudos ladies!!!

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
a pleasant surprise.
By wynter sage
After reading a bit about one of the main characters from this book, in the first one. I can rightly say that I was pleasantly surprised with how his story took place. I had originally started reading this book last night, due to the fact that I couldn't sleep. But soon found that I was completely unable to put it down, ended up finishing it within a day's time.

When it comes to Shannon West.. I have to admit, she's once again blown me away with this book. In regards to Susan Scott, this author is still a little new to me, but I'm quickly finding myself enjoying her way of writing just as I do with Ms. West.

They both are highly talented women, whom know how to leave you craving for more.. even before you've reached the middle of the book.

I would HIGHLY recommend this book, and the first of it's series, to anyone who's looking to read a dramatic page turning series.

Bravo, ladies!

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Monday, 25 January 2010

[C705.Ebook] Download PDF Human Knowledge: Its Scope and Limits, by Bertrand russell

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Human Knowledge: Its Scope and Limits, by Bertrand russell

How do we know what we "know"? How did we –as individuals and as a society – come to accept certain knowledge as fact? In Human Knowledge, Bertrand Russell questions the reliability of our assumptions on knowledge. This brilliant and controversial work investigates the relationship between ‘individual’ and ‘scientific’ knowledge. First published in 1948, this provocative work contributed significantly to an explosive intellectual discourse that continues to this day.

  • Sales Rank: #2035461 in Books
  • Published on: 1967-10-30
  • Number of items: 1
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 524 pages

Review

‘The nearest thing to a systematic philosophy written by one who does not believe in systems of philosophy. Its scope is encyclopedic…a joy to read.’ – New York Times

‘His intelligibility comes of stating things directly as he himself seems them, sharply defined and readily crystallized in the best English philosophical style.’ - The Times Literary Supplement

About the Author

Bertrand Russell (1872-1970). The leading British Philosopher of the twentieth century, who made major contributions to the area of logic and epistemology. Politically active and habitually outspoken, his ethical principles twice lead to imprisonment

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Informative and clearly expressed.
By Fibbo
Russell is proclaimed as one of the foremost philosophers of the 19th century. He is certainly one of the clearest writers on philosophy and the subject of human knowledge. I found this text well organised and expressed in clear terms. It is possible that there have been advances in philosophy (and topically epistemology) since Russell wrote this work: however, modern texts in epistemology sometimes hide whatever message they are trying to convey in complex expression and academic "sounding" words.
This text is essential reading for those interested in what we humans can know, and how we can say we know it.

7 of 10 people found the following review helpful.
RUSSELL’S FINAL SUMMATION OF HIS PHILOSOPHY OF KNOWLEDGE AND EPISTEMOLOGY
By Steven H Propp
Bertrand Arthur William Russell (1872–1970) was an influential British philosopher, logician, mathematician, and political activist. In 1950, he was awarded the Nobel Prize in Literature, in recognition of his many books such as A History of Western Philosophy, The Problems of Philosophy, Mysticism and Logic, Why I am Not a Christian, Religion and Science, The Philosophy of Logical Atomism, The Analysis of Mind, Our Knowledge of the External World, etc.

He wrote in the Preface to this 1948 book, “The following pages are addressed not only or primarily to professional philosophers but to that much larger public which is interested in philosophical questions without being willing or able to devote more than a limited amount of time to considering them… I think it is unfortunate that during the last hundred and sixty years or so philosophy has come to be regarded almost as technical as mathematics. Logic, it must be admitted, is technical in the same way as mathematics is, but logic, I maintain, is not part of philosophy. Philosophy proper deals with matters of interest to the general educated public, and loses much of its value if only a few professionals can understand what it said. In this book I have sought to deal, as comprehensively as I am able, with a very large question: How comes it that human beings, whose contacts with the world are brief and personal and limited, are nevertheless able to know as much as they do now? Is the belief in our knowledge partly illusory? And, if not, what must we know otherwise than through the senses?”

He said in the Introduction, “there has been a mistaken tendency among philosophers to allow the description of the world to be influenced unduly by considerations derived from the nature of human knowledge. To scientific common sense (which I accept) it is plain that only an infinitesimal part of the universe is known, that there were countless ages during which there was no knowledge, and that there will probably be countless ages without knowledge in the future.” (Pg. xi) He adds, “if, then, I am ever to be able to infer events, I must accept principles of inference which lie outside deductive logic. All inferences from events to events demands some kind of interconnection between different occurrences. Such interconnection … is implied… in whatever limited validity may be assigned to induction by simple enumeration. But the traditional ways of formulating the kind of interconnection that must be postulated are in many ways defective, some being too stringent and some not sufficiently so. To discover the minimum principles required to justify scientific inferences is one of the main purposes of this book.” (Pg. xii-xiii)

He states, “it must be admitted that there is a bare possibility---no more---that although occurrences in the brain do not infringe the laws of physics, nevertheless their outcome is not what it would be if no psychological factors were involved… There is therefore, so far, not the smallest positive reason for supposing that there is anything about physical processes in the brain that involves different macroscopic laws from those of the physics of inanimate matter. Nevertheless, for those who are anxious to assert the power of mind over matter it is possible to find a loophole… since… according to quantum physics, there are no physical laws to determine which of several possible transitions a given atom will undergo, we may imagine that, in a brain, the choice between possible transitions is determined by a psychological cause called ‘volition.’ All this is POSSIBLE, but no more than possible; there is not the faintest positive reason for supposing that anything of the sort actually takes place.” (Pt. One, Ch. V, pg. 40-41)

He observes, “‘Knowledge’ is a vague concept for two reasons. First, because the meaning of a word is always more or less vague… and second, because all that we count as knowledge is in a greater or lesser degree uncertain, and there is no way of deciding how much uncertainty makes a belief unworthy to be called ‘knowledge,’ any more than mow much loss of hair makes a man bald.” (Pt. Two, Ch. V, pg. 98) He points out, “There is a long history of discussions as to what was mistakenly called ‘skepticism of the senses.’ Many appearances are deceptive. Things seen in a mirror may be thought to be ‘real.’ … The rainbow seems to touch the ground at some point, but if you go there you do not find it… But in all these cases the core of data is not illusory, but only the derived beliefs. My visual sensations, when I look in a mirror or see double, are exactly what I think they are… In dreams I have all the experiences that I seem to have; it is only things outside my mind that are not as I believe them to be while I am dreaming. There are in fact no illusions of the senses, but only mistakes in interpreting sensational data as signs of things other than themselves… there is no evidence that there are illusions of the senses.” (Pt. Three, Ch. I, Pg. 167)

He contends, “the best scientific opinion of the present time has a better chance of truth, or of approximate truth, than any differing hypothesis suggested by a layman. The case is analogous to that of firing at a target. If you are a bad shot you are not likely to hit the bull’s-eye, but you are nevertheless more likely to hit the bull’s-eye than to hit any other equal area. So the scientist’s hypothesis, though not likely to be quite right, is more likely to be right than any variant suggested by an unscientific person.” (Pt. Four, Ch. I, pg. 235) He asserts, “Perfect rationality consists not in believing what is true but in attaching to every proposition a degree of belief corresponding to its degree of credibility. In regard to empirical propositions, the degree of credibility changes when fresh evidence accrues. In mathematics, the rational man who is not a mathematician will believe what he is told. He will therefore change his beliefs when mathematicians discover errors in the work of their predecessors. The mathematician himself may be completely rational in spite of making a mistake, if the mistake is one which at the time is very difficult to detect. Whether we ought to aim at rationality is an ethical question.” (Pt. Five, Ch. VI, pg. 397-398)

He argues, “Belief in causation, whether valid nor not, is deeply embedded in language. Consider how Hume, despite his desire to be skeptical, allows himself, from the start, to use the word ‘impression.’ An ‘impression’ should be something that presses in on one, which is a purely causal conception. The difference between an ‘impression’ and an ‘idea’ should be that the former, but not the latter, have a proximate cause which is external… For my part, I should define an ‘impression,’ or a ‘sensation,’ as a mental occurrence of which the proximate cause is physical, while an ‘idea’ has a proximate cause which is mental… In dreams we think we have impressions, but when we wake we usually conclude that we were mistaken. It follows that there is no INTRINSIC character which inevitably distinguishes impressions from ideas.” (Pt. Six, Ch. V, pg. 455-456)

Russell was reportedly disappointed that professional philosophers (who were engrossed in Existentialism and Linguistic Philosophy, when this book was published) ignored this book; but with the advantage of hindsight, I think we can appreciate it as an excellent summing-up of Russell’s analytic philosophy (except that he gives “science” a much greater degree of confidence than we might, nowadays).

19 of 22 people found the following review helpful.
Strictly reserved for the serious
By D. Coyle
To my knowledge, one of the best books ever written.

Russell's English has a wonderful, graceful clarity. But this is not an easy book to read. What does it mean to "know"? what do we know? how far can we be sure that we do in fact know? These are fundamental questions about human thought, and this book is an essential item in the library of anyone who is concerned with such questions.

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